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The Calvert-Henderson
Quality of Life Indicators (C-HQLIsm)
are the result of a partnership between the Calvert Group,
Inc., Bethesda, MD and this author, for whom they represent
the fulfillment of 25 years of effort, research and advocacy
in the USA and worldwide for more comprehensive statistics
beyond the traditional macroeconomic indicators, GNP/GDP
based on the United Nations System of National Accounts (UNSNA).
The proliferation of alternative measures of sustainable
human development and quality-of-life attest to tremendous
progress in the past decade. The UNDP's first Human Development
Index (HDI) in 1990 devised by my two respected colleagues,
the late Mahbub ul Haq and UNDP's current Director of Development
Studies, Inge Kaul, gave all our efforts great impetus. In
1989, I contributed (along with Mahbub ul Haq, Lord Meghnad
Desai, Dharam Ghai, Frank Bracho, Victor Anderson and other
indicators experts) to The Caracas Report to the South Commission New
Ways to Measure Development (Institute for Advanced
Study, Caracas, Venezuela, 1989, English version 1990, Redefining
Wealth and Progress, Toes Books, NY).After many years
of presenting and debating such expanded approaches to national
accounts with government and academic colleagues at venues
worldwide, I found a "fit" with the research needs
of a leading, innovative socially responsible investment
firm located in the United States, The Calvert Group of Bethesda,
MD, which has been in the mutual fund management business
for 25 years and manages approximately $7.0 billion in assets
in 27 screened and non-screened portfolios for over 220,000
shareholders. I have served since 1982 on the Calvert Social
Investment Fund Advisory Council.Calvert's responsible investment
practices are based on the belief that caring for our natural
environment and recognizing the importance of human dignity
is essential to the long-term health and well being of our
increasingly interdependent societies. In the early 1980s,
Calvert pioneered the use of social investing on a broader
scale than ever before. In 1982, the Calvert Social Investment
Fund became the first mutual fund to oppose apartheid in
South Africa. Fittingly, in 1994, following Nelson Mandela's
victory in the country's first open elections, Calvert became
one of the first mutual funds to re-invest in free South
Africa. Calvert recognizes that investing in companies that
are committed to meeting the challenges of the future with
an expanded view of corporate responsibility is more than
just a matter of "doing the right thing" – it also
makes good business sense. Calvert embraces the concept that
a primary objective of every corporation should be to enhance
the wealth of all stakeholders, not just the company's shareholders,
but also its employees, customers, vendors, communities,
and the natural environment. More than $2 trillion is invested
today in the United States in a socially responsible manner,
according to a study released in 2000 by the US nonprofit
Social Investment Forum.The Calvert-Henderson Quality
of Life Indicators project was launched in 1994 with
Calvert's Social Investment Research Department, directed
by Jon Lickerman. Why does a private sector financial firm
publish such a set of indicators of quality-of-life? I will
quote directly from Calvert Group's CEO, Barbara Krumsiek
explains: "All over the country, citizens are demonstrating
a desire to engage in serious discussions about how to measure
quality of life and livable communities in the United States.
For the past five years, Calvert Group has been preparing
for this exciting debate: The Calvert-Henderson Quality of
Life Indicators, the first national, comprehensive assessment
of the quality of life in the United States using a systems
approach. The deep insights, illuminating findings, and bold
explorations into historical and contemporary environmental,
economic and social conditions of the country are our contributions
to this important debate. We hope its messages and many lessons
will empower people from all walks of life who are equally
concerned about our future together on this planet."Beyond
this social mission of educating investors and the general
public, Jon Lickerman, the project's co-director, adds: "Over
the course of Calvert's practice in socially responsible
investing, it became evident that there were no broad indicators
by which to guide our unique investment strategy. Asset managers
had traditional economic indicators to help guide their financial
investment decisions. Routine releases of the Consumer Price
Index, housing starts, consumer credit, manufacturing orders
and capacity utilization, job vacancies, growth in average
earnings, productivity, and unit labor costs all provide
information to navigate the direction of economic cycles
and investment strategies. As a leading practitioner in the
field of socially responsible investing, Calvert analysts
did not have tools similar to those available to traditional
investment professionals. We understood the need for a broader
array of socio-economic indicators. We also began to understand
that there was little information available to understand
the relationships between economic forces and societal or
environmental impacts. This dilemma led Calvert into the
field of quality of life indicators. How was it that we could
analyze the environmental impact of a major chemical company,
yet we could not ascertain the overall quality of the environment
in which it operates? In the fast food industry, analysts
had no indicators that would elucidate how further investments
in an inherently low wage industry might impact broader socio-economic
trends. What were the trends in national income distribution?
What were the demographics of this traditionally low wage
segment of the workforce? Was this growth industry contributing
to increased national income disparities or simply providing
a low rung step in the ladder of economic development for
workers?"
Indeed,
Calvert Group frequently finds it necessary to undertake such
broader, quality-of-life research on issues of emerging concerns
to their shareholders and society, for example, privacy, biotechnology
and genetic engineering, impacts of commercialism and mass media
on children. Similarly, the screening process (both positive
and negative) of corporations for inclusion in Calvert's mutual
fund portfolios is constantly refined. For example, Calvert does
not invest in companies that are involved in weapons production,
nuclear energy, or out of compliance with environmental regulations,
core labor standards or those involved in human rights violations
or disputes with indigenous people. Calvert's "positive
screens" seek innovative companies that create social benefits,
environmental remediation and are geared toward sustainable use
of energy and resources. Indeed, as Calvert's Social Research
Department has broadened its research since Calvert Group's founding
25-years ago, this huge knowledge base is increasingly sought
after by outside entities including traditional financial firms,
and increasingly, academia, government agencies, public officials
and Civic Society Organizations (CSOs).
Overview
The
Calvert-Henderson Quality of Life Indicators measure conditions
and trends in 12 key socioeconomic sectors of the U.S.A. (See
Figure 1) based on my Country Futures Indicators (CFI) model
(Henderson, 1991, 1995), co-created by this author and the Calvert
Group, Inc., Bethesda, MD. These Indicators were developed over
five years under the guidance of Hazel Henderson, Jon Lickerman
and Patrice Flynn, President, Flynn Research, Harpers Ferry,
WV, www.flynnresearch.com and a team of experts in each of the
12 Indicator domains: Education, Jill Dianne Swenson; Employment,
Patrice Flynn; Energy, John A. "Skip" Laitner; Environment,
Kenneth P. Scott; Health, Constance Battle and Mary Jenifer; Human
Rights, Alya Kayal; Income, Lawrence Mishel; Infrastructure,
Will Mallett; National Security, Colonel Daniel M. Smith; Public
Safety, Trudy A. Karlson; Re-Creation, Richard Peterson
and Carrie Lee; Shelter, Patrick Simmons (biographies
on www.calvert-henderson.com). US population/demographic data
crosscuts through all 12 Indicators. Population increases show,
by most forecasts, a rise of between 8 and 10 billion people
on our planet early in this new millennium. However, the huge
global gap between rich and poor still shows that per capita
consumption of energy and resources in the US is some fifty times
greater than that of some 2 billion of the world's poor and undernourished.
Thus, the most potent threat to the environment is waste and
over consumption, with the US as the world's chief polluter.
The other Indicators show the potential for redesigning infrastructures,
production methods using better information and how "greener
technologies" can also benefit the world's climate and ecology—as
well as quality-of-life. Since 9/11/2001 there has been much
interest in the National Security Indicator, which was predictive
of the terrorist threat, as well as the Energy Indicator as the
debate widened over the need for greater independence from OPEC
oil, conservation and renewable alternatives.The 12 indicators
were selected using many sources. Firstly, they are major areas
of public concern as reflected in public opinion polls, the media,
political campaigns, and debates over decades. Secondly, these
domains are most often covered in many of the existing sets of
local state, national, and international statistics we reviewed.
Each one of our indicators allows revealing insights often invisible
in highly averaged indices. In two separate polls on governmental
reform by the highly respected Americans Talk Issues Foundation,
Americans were asked if they approved or disapproved of the following
proposal:"In the same way we've developed and used the Gross
National Product to measure the growth of the economy, [we should]
develop and use a scorecard of new indicators for holding politicians
responsible for progress toward other national goals, like improving
education, extending health care, preserving the environment,
and making the military meet today's needs."In these two
surveys in March of 1993, 72 percent of the American people agree
that such quality-of-life indicators were needed. These results
were verified in a debate format where an opposing view was offered
in the second survey in January of 1994:"Opponents say that
eventually economists will be able to calculate a single indicator
of progress, a kind of enlarged GNP, that bundles into this money-based
statistic our progress in all major areas including the economy,
health, education, the environment, and so forth. This single
number would be easier for everyone to use to rank ourselves
against other nations and to judge the performance of our political
leaders."Only 22 percent of respondents found this opposing
view to be convincing, and when the original question was asked
again, support went up to 79 percent (Kay 1998).The Calvert-Henderson
model presents the first systems approach to measuring quality-of-life
(see Kenneth C. Land, SINET News, Feb-May 2000). The Indicators
are unbundled for full transparency and public education, but
are conceptually linked and interfaced in the overall model.
Each Indicator domain is mapped by a sub-system model describing
the relationships between institutional structures and how decisions
flow through the sector to create outcomes (measured by the most
reliable, official and academic statistics). (For example, see Figure
2, Calvert-Henderson National Security Model, and Figure
3, Calvert-Henderson Shelter model.) Each Indicator domain
uses appropriate metrics and disciplines for its data-streams.
Baseline evaluations of existing statistics and methods identify
their changing relevance to each evolving socioeconomic sector
and highlight statistical "blind spots."The use of
macroeconomic aggregation and weighting formulae is deliberately
avoided, so as to minimize distortion and opacity. This systems
methodology serves both the purposes of public education and
the needs of asset managers in constructing socially-responsible
portfolios according to social criteria and performance of companies
in all of the 12 Indicator domains. Currently, all major data-streams
are being updated, and are online at www.calvert-henderson.com.
An important goal is to help improve the quality and breadth
of existing national statistics.The Calvert-Henderson Quality
of Life Indicators provide "the rest of the story" on
the USA, its rapidly-evolving economy and technological sectors.
Statisticians are reformulating GNP to reflect these new realities
in re-categorizing software and many other services, which together
now represent the largest sector of our "Information Age" economy.
All the world's industrializing societies are undergoing similar
changes and restructuring, as they move from the earlier to the
later stages of the Industrial Revolution. Part of this great
transition is toward information-based economies. Here, knowledge,
intellectual capital and the more intangible human and social
assets replace manual labor and some of the tangible capital
earlier economic textbooks called the "factors of production."In
today's information age, most countries study the USA and are
keenly interested in our changing economy and society – even
more so in the aftermath of the terrorist attacks of September
11, 2001. Some see all these changes accelerating the "New
Economy." Others warn that this current era of globalization
will bog down in a now-likely global recession. Much of the debate
concerns appropriate methods for measuring productivity and inflation.
For example, some analysts point to the high US growth rate in
the late 1990s as the effect of cheap oil. Since then, oil prices
tripled and then fell back due to the global slowdown. Business
Week and other financial journals frequently editorialized
that technological productivity and globalization could continue
to deliver low inflation and full employment with budget surpluses
and lower interest rates as well. Others were more cautious and
predicted the bursting of the dot com bubble and the current
recession. U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan Greenspan
became a believer in the increased productivity that information
technology can deliver. Most forecasts expect low interest rates
to bring the US economy back into positive territory by mid-2002.
Yet Business Week editorialized (Dec. 10, 2001) that continued
productivity growth, could actually undermine consumer spending
by driving up unemployment (currently 5.7%) and holding down
wage gains.This transition to information-based production and
services is often accompanied by a deeper knowledge of natural
processes and ecological assets and the services nature provides.
Thus, many economies have also evolved toward more efficient
use of energy and materials—and a shift away from fossil fuels
and nuclear power (which create pollution and safety hazards).
As we learn more about our living planet and nature's productivity
and design genius, our technologies change. They slowly reflect
this new knowledge in biotechnologies and the harnessing of clean,
inexhaustible sources of energy (from sun, wind, oceans, and
biomass). With appropriate full-cost prices and regulations,
societies slowly shift to recycling industrial materials in closed-loop
production, waste reduction, re-manufacturing and reuse. An industrial
design revolution is quietly under way toward more "weightless," dematerialized
economies.It is well recognized that macroeconomic statistics
fell behind in mapping these fundamental shifts. A large part
of the problem is that conventional economics and accounting
still considers air, water, and nature's purifying cycles "free." Thus,
only recently have textbooks begun to embrace full-cost prices.
Only in the past decade have we seen the rise of environmental
and ecological economics, full-cost accounting, and life-cycle
costing for investment purposes. All this, together with the
rise of social and environmental auditing, accounting for "intangibles" and
intellectual property—and the many attempts to overhaul GNP and
GDP—represents the greatest revolution in accounting and statistics
since the invention of double-entry bookkeeping. Calvert and
this author support the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) to
extend company auditing to measure a triple-bottom-line. (See
Figure 6, CERES Reporting Initiative).As you are aware, economists
K. W. Kapp, Kenneth Boulding, Barbara Ward, E. J. Mishan, and
E. F. Schumacher, in Europe, spearheaded these new approaches,
as well as Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen and his student Herman Daly,
Richard Estes, and others in the US, including this author. On
the conceptual foundations of these early economics innovators,
a host of new efforts to redefine human development, wealth,
and progress emerged in the 1980s and 1990s. David Morris of
the Institute for Local Self-Reliance produced the Physical Quality-of-Life
Index (PQLI) for the Overseas Development Council; this author
promulgated the Country Futures Indicators (CFI) approach in
1986. Herman Daly and John Cobb created the Index of Sustainable
Economic Welfare (ISEW) with Clifford Cobb in 1989. This index
deducts from GNP many environmental and social costs, arriving
at a significantly lower "net GNP." This index has
been adapted widely in Europe, Australia, and the US as the Genuine
Progress Index (GPI) since 1995. Other approaches include the
Fordham University Index of Social Health devised by Marque Luisa
and Marc Miringoff, and The Wellbeing of Nations by
Robert Prescott-Allen.The Clinton Administration attempted to "green" the
US GDP by means of an Integrated Environmental and Economic Satellite
Account (IEESA) developed by the Bureau of Economic Analysis
(BEA) of the US Commerce Department in 1994—to mixed reviews.
The Congress directed the BEA to halt this work, and charged
the National Research Council to review the entire issue. In
late 1999, the Council issued its report, Nature's Numbers,
urging that the BEA be funded to restart this effort. The World
Bank in 1995 issued its own Wealth Index, which redefined "the
wealth of nations" in significant ways. The Bank now defines
60% of this wealth of nations as "human capital" (social
organization and human skills and knowledge), 20% as environmental
capital (nature's contribution), and 20% as "built capital" (factories,
finance capital). A revolution has begun in the mainstream economics
profession, with many of its best minds—Joseph Stiglitz, formerly
the Bank's chief economist, Harvard's Jeffrey Sachs and Paul
Krugman—embracing pieces of the new thinking. The most influential,
widely used and quoted new formula is the United Nations Human
Development Index (HDI), which has spawned many national versions.
The
most pressing methodological debate over such new measures of
wealth progress and human development has concerned the extent
to which such broad new areas of concern as human rights, health,
education, environmental and overall quality of life can be captured
using money coefficients and macroeconomic models. Such methods
currently weight all data from different economic sectors into
one index. Many, including this author, believe that such high
levels of aggregating all these "apples and oranges" into
one index is inappropriate and often confusing. Another issue
concerns the use of "satellite accounts" for environmental
and social data. This designation indicates lesser value for
such data. Such diverse areas of quality-of-life deserve their
own metrics—those most appropriate within the diverse disciplines
that study such fields. For example, money coefficients cannot
quantify human rights, air and water quality, recreational satisfaction,
education, health, public safety, or national security. Money
measures and percentages of national budgets can give clues—but
are often simply input data—rather than measuring outcomes and
results. Some approaches employ subjective opinion surveys of
individual "satisfaction". However, since many citizens
are not fully aware of environmental threats, toxic wastes or
the extent of other threats to public health and safety, such
survey methods may be unreliable.
The
systems approach used in the C–HQLI requires multiple metrics
to cover the 12 aspects of US society. In each area, a model
links all major factors and processes, providing a roadmap
of how decisions flow through various institutional structures
to create outcomes. Such systemic models help identify why
in each area, the US has succeeded or fallen short in achieving
its stated policy goals. Many Indicator areas show how throwing
money at ill-defined problems such as "crime" or "national
security" or at specific diseases, has led to wasted or
misdirected resources, both public and private. These Indicators
show how each sector of the US economy contributed to, or in
some cases, diminished overall quality-of-life. The "holes" in
the statistical pictures and where data-gathering needs new
focus are identified. These 12 "unbundled" Indicators
with the use of visual models come together as a broader pattern.
This systems approach allows display of this wealth of diverse
data rigorously—without the loss of detail which plagues any
single Index approach. This systems and visual approach will
be emphasized in the forthcoming website, which will allow
easy access to the underlying data in each Indicator model.
Each Indicator is summarized below.
Employment
The
field of US employment and work changed immensely during the
1990s. From a recession in the early 1990s, the US in 2000
had the lowest (4.2%) unemployment recorded since the 1950s.
In October, 2001, the NBER declared officially that the US
had been in a recession since March. The September 11th terrorist
attacks further shocked the economy and by November added 1.2
million layoffs, bringing unemployment back up to 5.7%. Yet
the low unemployment of the late 1990s caused a rethink of
the NAIRU used by the Federal Reserve Board in setting interest
rates. A NAIRU under 5.5% was thought to be inflationary. Today,
the US economy is still experiences low inflation—due, many
say, to the "New Economy" factors. While the economic
stimulus of tax cuts and additional spending on homeland security
will boost employment, lag times will delay these effects in
various sectors. In spite of the bursting of the bubble on
Wall Street, the Internet and information technology, arguably
has raised overall US productivity. The Employment Indicator
model also shows that a large but not well-measured percentage
of productive work is unpaid. This unpaid work in caring for
elders, the sick and children—in home or volunteer organization
settings—is unaccounted for in the GNP. Many organizations
in the nonprofit, civic sector of US society now call for full
recognition of the value of this caring work. Some call for
housework and parenting to be paid, through statutory pension
benefits or in marriage contracts. This area of concern will
likely grow as both parents in families are in the paid workforce.
The "family values" debate encodes many new dilemmas
faced by parents as they juggle two jobs, child and elder care
as U.S. population ages. Worldwide, the United Nations HDI
in 1995 estimated that unpaid work by the world's women was
worth US$11 trillion and that by men another US$5 trillion.
This US$16 trillion total was simply missing from the 1995
world GDP of US$24 trillion. In addition, this Indicator tracks
the growing ranks of the self-employed, part-timers and the
composition by gender, ethnicity, and age of the US workforce.
The promise of the Industrial Age for more leisure—as machines
and automation took over production tasks—did not materialize.
Today, Americans work longer hours than their counterparts
in Europe and Japan. Yet, there is much debate over the statistics
on work and leisure, as cross-referenced in the Indicator on
Re-Creation.
Income
This
Indicator dissects conventional macrostatistics to reveal important
information concealed by the averages. Although US incomes
at the low end have been essentially flat for over a decade,
there were signs of increase due to the "New Economy" phenomenon
in 2000. The 2001 bear market on Wall Street and softening
US economy resulted in little increase in unemployment until
the September 11th attacks. Yet the gap between
rich and poor Americans is still historically high—an issue
that does not bode well for any democracy. Other measurement
issues include the extent to which technology and globalization
are squeezing the incomes of less skilled Americans and are
related to the Employment and Education Indicators. A 1995
national survey by the Merck Foundation and the Harwood Group
found 28% of Americans had opted for lower incomes and
moved to rural communities in order to improve their
quality of life. Clearly, values are changing and new trade-offs
are being made between more money income vis-à-vis more
time, tranquil and less-polluted environments—all made possible
by home computers and the Internet. As official statistical
cameras are re-focused, the Income Indicator will add new data-streams.
Shelter
This
Indicator dissects US macroeconomic data to reveal a "good
news, bad news" picture. The American Dream of home ownership
has never been so fulfilled—with a record 66.3% now owning
homes. A majority of Americans are well housed with over two-thirds
in affordable, physically adequate, uncrowded housing. The
bad news is that shelter deprivation still exists in the US.
Some 5.3 million low-income renters are in distress and an
additional half to three-quarters of a million Americans are
homeless at any given time. The US savings rate hovers at zero – but
this statistic is also under challenge. Mortgage debt stands
at a record $5.4 trillion, but with interest rates at record
lows, many homeowners are re-financing – often to consolidate
their overall debts. The current rock bottom interest rates
make mortgages more accessible, but consumer confidence and
job losses also make prospective homeowners wary. These statistics
seem to be a reflection of the national poverty gap—shown in
the Income Indicator. The state of shelter in the US also affects
opportunities for social mobility and education and thus is
related to many other Indicators, including those on Employment,
Health, and Environment.
Infrastructure
This
Indicator unpacks macrostatistics to reveal an ongoing debate:
to what extent the US has been overlooking the vital role its
infrastructure plays in undergirding its economy. Historically,
infrastructure referred to highways, railroads, harbors, bridges,
aqueducts, public buildings, dams, and the like. Industrial
societies evolved airports, communications systems, energy
supplies, water, and other utilities. Today, infrastructure
includes education, research and development, computerized "backbone" systems,
and all taxpayer-supported systems used in commerce and on
which large sectors of any economy rely. A recent trend since
September 11 has been the revival of Congressional spending
on homeland security, which may lead to a re-vamping of railroads
and added spending on securing bridges, dams and other infrastructure.
Another trend picked up by this Indicator is that of the privatization
of growing areas of formerly publicly-owned infrastructure,
including electric utilities, phone, water, and other services.
After the 2001 electricity blackouts in California, and the
collapse of Enron's energy-trading systems and its impending
bankruptcy, a re-evaluation of deregulation of such vital infrastructure
is underway. Publicly funded infrastructure investments used
to be "expensed" items in GDP accounts. As of 1996,
a more realistic asset budget in GNP now accounts for such
investments as "assets"—since they often have a useful
lifetime of 50–100 years or more. This accounting change contributed
much to the US budget surplus. Canada changed its GNP to include
such public investments as assets in 1999, thereby reducing
its deficit by Can$50 billion. Japan could much improve its
prospects by adopting such budgeting reforms—as could European
Union countries. This Indicator is related to most other Indicators,
as infrastructure is the key to energy efficiency, whether
cities sprawl over virgin lands and farms or whether older
or vacant land in our cities is infilled. These factors in
turn relate to environmental protection, pollution, housing,
education, public health and safety.
Energy
This
Indicator is a key to the overall efficiency of an economy.
US GNP has been growing with less energy input in the past
25 years, since the first Organization of Oil Exporting Countries
(OPEC) oil embargo in 1973. But the US still lags behind Japan
and Europe—using almost twice the energy they use per unit
of GNP. This keeps the US vulnerable to the Middle East and
OPEC which supplies some 50% of our oil and keeps us in an
uncompetitive position even as the Internet-based "New
Economy" grows. US reliance on low-fuel-efficiency cars
and fossil fuels decreases national flexibility. Entrenched
sectors of the older industrial economy oppose the shift to
new energy sources, cleaner fuel cell or electric cars. All
these issues of restructuring the US economy came to a head
in the debate over climate change. The fossil fuel industry
lobbied hard and spent millions on advertising campaigns to
oppose the 1997 Kyoto Agreements to reduce fossil fuel carbon
emissions. President George W. Bush has not yet offered his
promised alternatives to the Kyoto Protocols he refused to
implement in early 2001. His National Academy of Sciences study
confirms the role of humans in increasing CO2 levels
in the atmosphere and their effect on global warming. The scientific
evidence now overwhelmingly points to the need to reduce such
emissions. Many analysts and dozens of new solar and renewable
energy companies now believe that the fossil-industrial transition
to the Information Age will usher in a prosperous, profitable
economy based on renewable resource use and deeper knowledge.
Energy efficiency means less waste, higher, cleaner profits,
more comfortable homes, communities and travel with less pollution.
The transition from here to there can be followed in this Indicator,
as traditional economic models of "efficiency" move
into alignment with physical realities of thermodynamic efficiency.National
SecurityThe new war on terrorism has changed the focus to so-called "asymmetrical" threats:
where suicidal individuals armed with box cutters can turn
passenger planes into explosive missiles. Thus, 21st century
threats include bioterrorism, suitcase bombs and cyber-warfare.
All this calls for even more fundamental changes in national
security policy. The US public's view of "national security" has
been changing for over a decade, as revealed, for example,
in Americans Talk Issues Foundation surveys and those from
the University of Maryland's Center on Public Policy Attitudes.
Even before the end of the Cold War, the US public was identifying
global economic competitiveness and environmental pollution
as issues of national security—beyond traditional military
views of "defense." The National Security Indicator
model reveals how Americans, the Congress, the Administration,
and a host of institutional players actually shape our current
national security policy. This identifies other potential lags
in the military view of national security exemplified by the
debate over missile defense and its feasibility or relevance
in a world of asymmetrical threats. These relate to prevention
of threats and conflicts. These must be addressed via intelligence,
diplomacy, treaty-making, surveillance, and verification—most
often involving allies and multilateral agencies including
the United Nations (the only global organization of countries
that can convene all the parties). Short-changing such anticipatory,
preventive policies inevitably leads to more drastic, expensive
military interventions—such as those that might have been prevented
in Bosnia, Kosovo, East Timor, and other trouble spots. Yet
the Indicator shows a growing imbalance between military strategies
and programs vis-à-vis an alarming drop-off in preventive
activities—including deteriorating US Embassy facilities, cuts
to State Department diplomatic activities previous pull-backs
from international peacekeeping and surveillance operations
with US allies. These policies have been revised since 9/11.
The United Nations was paid $580 million of the US arrears
in paying UN dues. The public debate about "isolationism," "unilateralism" and
the changing meaning of "national sovereignty" as
well as globalization will continue for years to come. The
national security is fundamentally linked to all other areas
and Indicators of any nation's quality of life.Health
The
Health Indicator begins by exploring why the US provides more
health-care services at higher costs per capita than any other
country in the world. Yet, after the anthrax attacks, the US
public health services were revealed as woefully under-funded
and wholly inadequate to their new tasks in an age of bioterrorism.
Some funding increases have passed the Congress, but are still
viewed by health professionals as a fraction of what is required.
The enormous health sector of our economy is also becoming
a top focus of national concern since it delivers only modest
improvements in health status in some areas and none in others.
Of growing concern are the over 40 million Americans who have
no health insurance. Meanwhile, the National Bureau of Economic
Research (NBER) released a working paper, which finds that
better health boosts a country's GNP. Authors David Bloom and
JP Sevilla analyzed data from 104 countries and found that
a one-year improvement in a country's life expectancy contributes
a 4% increase in its economic output. (Dec 3, 2001). This enormous
sector of the economy is becoming a top focus of national concern—since
it delivers only modest improvements in health status in some
areas and none in others. Many Americans demand a "patient's
Bill of Rights" to hold health maintenance organizations
(HMOs) and insurance companies more accountable for decisions
over patient treatment – supported by both presidential candidates
in 2000. Newer worries concern the need for public health clinics
nationwide, where uninsured people who may have been exposed
to pathogens can be quickly tested and evaluated so as to limit
epidemics. The Indicator offers a model of the current US healthcare
system, which helps to clarify a systemic set of issues. Health
is being redefined beyond the medical intervention model. Today,
Americans are focusing on prevention, stress-reduction, and
lifestyle choices. Beyond terrorism, tobacco and alcohol use,
and even the availability of guns, are issues entering the
public health debate. More Americans now consult "complementary" and "alternative" health
providers than visit conventional medical doctors and facilities.
This is a paradigm shift, which is restructuring the entire
medical–industrial complex and its technocratic, bureaucratic
approach, which represents some 14% of US GNP. New statistics
are needed as the US integrates these two very different approaches
to health. An October 1999 study in the Federal Reserve Bank
of New York's Economic Policy Review cites the effects
of urban poverty. Fifteen-year-old black and white males' life
expectancy rates were compared in several cities. In poor black
areas of New York City only 37% were expected to live to age
65. In Detroit, the figure was 50%. Poor white 15-year-olds
in poverty areas of Detroit and Cleveland did a little better.
In Detroit, 60% were found likely to live to age 65 with 64%
likely in Cleveland. Average life expectancy for all US whites
is 77 years and for US blacks 62 years. The Indicator shows
such gaps, which also relate to similar data in the Income,
Shelter, Safety, Education, and Human Rights Indicators.
Education
The
Education Indicator model gives an overview of US issues over
structural educational reform, school vouchers, "charter" schools,
home schooling, and those concerning the shift to today's globalized
information-based economy. Since 9/11/01 there have been many
calls to "globalize" the curriculum to prepare students
for a globally-interdependent, multicultural world. Knowledge
is now widely recognized as a key factor of production. The
World Bank and other multilateral institutions now agree that
investments in education (particularly at preschool and kindergarten
through 12 levels) are the new key, along with investments
in health, to economic development. Statistics, particularly
in macroeconomic indices, are lagging far behind this new paradigm
of economic and human development. Nothing is changing
US business and academic institutions faster than the new definitions
of capital—as human and intellectual capital. As many new Internet-based
e-commerce businesses know, a company cannot "own" the
part of its knowledge base that resides in the heads of its
employees. The rise of stock options, partnerships, and employee
stock ownership plans (ESOPs) are all related to this new evaluation
of intellectual capital—on which all technical and social innovation
is based. Today, more than ever, education is a basic human
right—in many other countries as well as in the US. Furthermore,
levels of education will drive all the world's economies toward
development—depending how they structure and invest in educating
humanity's most precious resource: the world's children.
Public
Safety
This
Indicator maps a rapid evolution in the US debate about this
aspect of quality-of-life. In October, 2001, the US instituted
a cabinet-level Office of Homeland Security. This will elevate
the public's awareness about all aspects of public safety and
alter the nature of law enforcement. Information-age crimes,
from money-laundering, Internet fraud to terrorists and global
mafia, now affect domestic public safety – a new challenge
for statisticians. The view that safety was a personal affair
and that risk-taking was a private choice has evolved as society
became more complex. While individuals are still largely responsible
for their behavior, today we live in an interdependent world.
Many risks of daily life (for example, exposure to toxic wastes,
gun violence in schools, car and highway design, risks in foods
and other products) are involuntary and often unavoidable.
Thus the Indicator also captures these new concerns in public
safety—and links today's risks to health, education, and cultural
factors. Crime statistics in the model and the tragedies of
US gun violence are seen in this larger setting. This systemic
view provides insights for individual and corporate risk-reduction
and may help rethink views on improving public safety, and
its measurements.
Human
Rights
This
Indicator views the state of human rights in the US in broad
areas: fundamental rights to the security of person; the US
Bill of Rights and Amendments to the Constitution (including
freedom of expression, religious freedom, right of assembly;
voting rights). Beyond these basic rights, the model embraces
an evolving international view embodied in the Universal Declaration
of Human Rights, which the US signed along with many other
countries over fifty years ago. After the terrorist attacks,
legislation was signed giving law enforcement officials sweeping
new powers – many of which are opposed by human and civil liberties
groups, thus creating new coalitions across the US political
spectrum. The Indicator covers US incarceration data (among
the highest in the world), the death penalty, prison labor,
racial/gender discrimination, mistreatment of prisoners and
aliens, as well as voting rights, participation in politics
and the growing influence of money and special interests. Today,
human rights have become a keystone of US foreign policy—largely
due to the efforts of former President Jimmy Carter. A crucial
issue is to what extent the sovereignty of a nation is no longer
absolute in cases where despotic dictators violate the human
rights of their own citizens – an issue being debated anew
in the global war on terrorism. Such clashes were evident in
the cases of Bosnia, Kosovo, Rwanda, and more recently in the
breakaway Russian province of Chechnya and in Afghanistan.
These and other human rights issues are also of great concern
in other countries. In Europe, Japan, Canada and many other
countries, economic, cultural, and social rights (to education,
social participation, health care and leisure time and to social
security) are included. Another evolution concerns the embracing
of women and children in the definition of human rights—now
widely recognized—if not fully achieved. This Indicator is
crucial to quality-of-life in the US and worldwide.
Environment
This
Indicator seeks to embrace the interactions between human society,
economic processes, and humanity's life support systems: the
natural world, its resources and other species. Naturally,
such a task is too enormous to do more than find within the
model some key "surrogate" indicators as proxies
for such a vast area. The burgeoning field of environmental
indicators and sustainability criteria area drawn upon, including
data on planetary ecosystems, the crucial role of biodiversity,
human effects on the ozone layer and climate. The Environment
Indicator model recognizes these broad concerns, but pays attention
to indicators closest to the lives of most US citizens. Air
and water quality and attainment of EPA standards are the initial
focus, since people cannot survive without acceptable quality
air and water. The National Research Council's 1999 report, Nature's
Numbers, also notes that "Greater emphasis should
be placed on measuring actual human exposures to air and water
pollution" (Recommendations 4.3 and 5.9). Through these
lenses one can understand better the causes of their degradation
and pollution—and the many steps needed to reverse these threats.
The systems approach reveals that many other domains of quality-of-life,
infrastructure design, energy use, shelter, health, employment,
public safety, and national security all impinge on the environment
and life support systems—for better or worse.
Re-Creation
This
Indicator goes beyond the material aspects of the US and focuses
on how Americans re-create themselves. Many attest to how the
terrorist attacks caused them to reflect deeply on their lives,
their meaning and purpose. The Indicator maps extraordinarily
diverse forms of recreation in the US—from volunteering in
community projects to helping preserve wildlife and serving
the poor, to attending concerts, museums, or enjoying bowling,
hunting, and fishing. The model traces how the US organizes
and spends private and public resources on such recreational
activities. The Indicator embraces self-improving experience
(from religious, spiritual pursuits to other forms of self-development),
patronizing the arts, physical sports and fitness; do-it-yourself
crafts, gardening, home-improvement, hobbies, vicarious experience
(TV, video games, Internet), socializing and home entertaining,
travel and tourism (now the world's biggest industry) to games
of chance, betting, and chemical escape (alcohol, tobacco,
and drugs). This Indicator offers a panorama of these evolving
activities of US inhabitants, which together form the largest
and fastest-growing sector of the US's services-dominated economy.
Statistical and methodological debates abound on the size and
shape of this emerging "Attention Economy" (Henderson,
1996) and its implications concerning work and leisure time.
The rapid evolution of the entire field of self-development
and re-creation augurs additional social and political change.
Today's drive for self-development—an essentially spiritual
need—is now spilling over into US material lives—in the growth
of socially responsible investments, and in communities opting
to honor their local past and culture by building museums and
art galleries. Over 80 million Americans volunteer at least
5 hours a week to their communities and the nonprofit, voluntary
sector now stands at 7% of GNP. A poll cited in Business
Week (November 1, 1999) found that 78% of Americans say
that they feel the need in their lives to experience spiritual
growth—up from 20% in 1994. The Re-creation Indicator will
track such changes. As more governments and research groups
in the private and civic sectors promulgate such reforms in
national accounts and macroeconomic statistics, corporations
and national policies can be steered toward protecting life
support systems and more equitable, transparent, and sustainable
societies.
The C-HQLI
will be continually reviewed, updated and reformulated as US
society restructures and evolves. We hope to benefit from expert
feedback from the academic community, government agencies and
statisticians' new measurements in all of our 12 Indicator domains.
The initial responses from all sectors have been favorable and
the many comments suggest that the C-HQLI is being used widely
as a public information and policy tool – particularly at state
and local levels. Our decision not to release any regular media-friendly
single number analogs to GDP releases was taken to prevent distortion
and maintain a systemic, holistic view. Meanwhile, we continue
to present C-HQLI at numerous professional and academic conferences
in the USA, Europe, Latin America and Asia, as well as in UNESCO's
forthcoming Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems. The C-HQLI
is now online at www.calvert-henderson.com and its Advisory Board
includes many of the distinguished social scientists, experts
and practitioners in the fields of quality-of-life and sustainability
indicators, including Lester Brown, Chair, Worldwatch Institute;
Kenneth Land, Duke University; Jeffrey Madrick, editor Challenge and Indicators,
New York; William McDonough, architect, Charlottsville, VA; Richard
Ottinger, Dean Emeritus, Pace University, New York; David Swain,
Jacksonville Quality Indicators for Progress, Florida; Mathis
Wackernagel, author Ecological Footprint Analysis, Margaret
Wheatley, author Leadership and the New Science and Sandra
Zagon, Manager Quality-of-Life Indicators, Canadian Policy Research
Institute.
*****
List
of Figures
Figure 1: Calvert-Henderson
front cover
Figure 2: Calvert-Henderson National
Security Model
Figure 3: Calvert-Henderson Shelter
Model
Figure 4: Environmental Ranking of New Energy Sources
Figure 5: The Shape of Things to Come
Figure 6: CERES Reporting Initiative
Hazel Henderson is
a global futurist, evolutionary economist and author of Beyond Globalization:
Shaping a Sustainable Global Economy (1999) and seven other books on sustainable
development. She serves on many editorial boards, including FUTURES, Elsevier
Scientific, UK; FORESIGHT, Cambridge UK and World Affairs, New Delhi, India.
She is fellow of the World Business Academy and the World Futures Studies
Federation, and advisor to the Calvert Social Investment Fund (Washington,
DC) with whom she is co-creating the Calvert-Henderson Quality-of-Life
Indicators. She held the Horace Albright Chair at the University of California,
Berkeley, and has served on Committees of the National Academy of Engineering,
the National Science Foundation, and the US Office of Technology Assessment
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